Congress: BJP's biggest asset?

Updated: 12/28/2023
Copy Link

Analysis of Past two Lok Sabha elections


BJP vs Congress

Loksabha election BJP vs Congress Direct BJP Won BJP Strike Rate% against Congress BJP Won as Congress cut votes
2019 186 171[1] 92% 18[2]
2014 186 162[1:1] 87% 17[2:1]

BJP vs Other Opposition Parties

Loksabha election BJP vs Others Direct BJP Won BJP Strike Rate% against Others BJP Won as Congress cut votes Adjusted* Seats Adjusted* BJP Strike Rate%
2019 251 132[1:2][3] 52.58% 18[2:2] 114 45%
2014 239 120[1:3][3:1] 50.20% 17[2:3] 103 43%

* adjusted to exclude effect of Congress vote cutting

BJP Overall and Congress Gifted seats share

Loksabha election BJP contested seats BJP Won seats Congress gifted seats Congress gifted seats%
2019 437 303[4] 189 62.4%
2014 425 282[5] 179 63.5%

Loksabha 2019 elections[4:1]

  • Congress won only 15 out of 186 seats where it was in direct fight with BJP[1:4]
  • 18 seats where Congress helped BJP win by cutting votes, was not in direct fight with BJP but its participation helped BJP win (i.e. BJP victory margin < congress vote share)[2:4]
State Constituency Winner BJP Votes Runner up Runner up
votes		 Congress votes
1. Telangana Karimnagar BJP 43.4% TRS 35.6% 15.6%
2. Telangana Secundarabad BJP 42.0% TRS 35.3% 18.9%
3. Telangana Adilabad BJP 35.5% TRS 30% 29.5%
4. Uttar Pradesh Badaun BJP 47.3% SP 45.6% 4.8%
5. Uttar Pradesh Banda BJP 46.2% SP 40.5% 7.3%
6. Uttar Pradesh Barabanki BJP 46.4% SP 36.9% 13.8%
7. Uttar Pradesh Basti BJP 44.7% BSP 41.8% 8.2%
8. Uttar Pradesh Dhaurahra BJP 48.2% BSP 33.1% 15.3%
9. Uttar Pradesh Meerut BJP 48.2% BSP 47.8% 2.8%
10. Uttar Pradesh Sant Kabir Nag BJP 44% BSP 40.6% 12.1%
11. Uttar Pradesh Sultanpur BJP 45.9% BSP 44.5% 4.2%
12. West Bengal Maldaha Uttar BJP 37.6% AITC 31.4% 22.5%
13. Orissa Balasore BJP 41.8% BJD 40.7% 15.5%
14. Orissa Baragarh BJP 46.6% BJD 41.5% 8.8%
15. Orissa Bolangir BJP 38.1% BJD 36.6% 20.7%
16. Orissa Kalahandi BJP 35.3% BJD 33.1% 26%
17. Orissa Sambalpur BJP 42.1% BJD 41.3% 12.1%
18. Orissa Sundargarh BJP 45.5% BJD 25.2% 24.4%

Loksabha 2014 elections[5:1]

  • Congress won only 24 out of 186 seats where it was in direct fight with BJP[1:5]
  • 17 seats where Congress helped BJP win by cutting votes, was not in direct fight with BJP but its participation helped BJP win (i.e. BJP victory margin < congress vote share)[6]
State Constituency Winner BJP Votes Runner up Runner up
votes		 Congress votes
1. Uttar Pradesh Allahabad BJP 35.3% SP 28% 11.5%
2. Uttar Pradesh Dhaurarha BJP 34.3% BSP 22.3% 16.3%
3. Uttar Pradesh Kheri BJP 37.0% BSP 26.7% 17.1%
4. Uttar Pradesh Rampur BJP 37.5% SP 35.0% 16.4%
5. Uttar Pradesh Sambhal BJP 34.1% SP 33.6% 1.5%
6. Delhi Chandni Chowk BJP 44.6% AAP 30.7% 17.9%
7. Delhi New Delhi BJP 46.7% AAP 30.0% 18.9%
8. Delhi North East Delhi BJP 45.3% AAP 34.3% 16.3%
9. Delhi North West Delhi BJP 46.4% AAP 38.6% 11.6%
10. Delhi East Delhi BJP 47.8% AAP 31.9% 17.0%
11. Delhi South Delhi BJP 45.2% AAP 35.5% 11.4%
12. Rajasthan Barmer BJP 40.1% IND 32.9% 18.1%
13. Haryana Kurukshetra BJP 36.8% INLD 25.4% 25.3%
14. Haryana Bhiwani-Mehendragarh BJP 3.93% INLD 26.7% 26.0%
15. Jharkhand Khunti BJP 36.5% JP 24.0% 19.9%
16. Jharkhand Singhbhum BJP 38.1% JBSP 27.1% 14.1%
17. Madhya Pradesh Morena BJP 44.0% BSP 28.4% 21.6%

Sources:

  1. https://www.news18.com/news/politics/congress-was-in-direct-fight-with-bjp-on-186-seats-crushed-by-the-modi-wave-2-0-it-won-just-15-2159211.html ↩︎ ↩︎ ↩︎ ↩︎ ↩︎ ↩︎

  2. https://www.indiavotes.com/pc/closecontest/17/0 ↩︎ ↩︎ ↩︎ ↩︎ ↩︎

  3. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_history_of_the_Bharatiya_Janata_Party ↩︎ ↩︎

  4. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Indian_general_election ↩︎ ↩︎

  5. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Indian_general_election ↩︎ ↩︎

  6. https://www.indiavotes.com/pc/closecontest/16/0 ↩︎

Related Pages

No related pages found.